February 9, 2018
Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Sullivan banter about two reports citing anonymous sources, Scott Boras’ boat metaphor, “Memento Mori” as a motivational tool, a John Jaso update, and a Patreon plug, then bring on the FanGraphs prospect team (Kiley McDaniel, Eric Longenhagen, and Chris Mitchell) to talk prospect-ranking philosophies, scouting-the-stat-line successes, how record home run rates affect scouting, the Ronald Acuna consensus and the Brendan McKay controversy, and the 10 biggest disagreements between FanGraphs’ stats-based and scouting-based prospect lists.
- Prospect rankings
- KATOH scouting system
- Balancing hitters and pitchers in prospect rankings
- Being comfortable with being wrong in prospect rankings
- Ronald Acuña
- Brendan McKay
- Players highly ranked by one system that are unranked by another (details in Notes)
John Frusciante, "The Will to Death"
The Tragically Hip, "Inevitability of Death"
The Kinks, "Till Death Do Us Part" and pre-episode banter
- Use of anonymous sourcing in Bob Nightengale article about unsigned players.
- How do you find a player's friends?
- Scott Boras comparing free agency to the America's Cup and other metaphors
- Terror Management Theory and basketball study
- John Jaso text to Fernando Perez
- Plug for Effectively Wild Patreon page
- Jeff: "What in the fuck is Scott Boras talking about!?"
- Ben: "I want to remind you that you and I are both going to die someday and I tell you that not to put you in a bad mood but possibly to improve your podcasting."
- Brief discussion about being OK with being wrong about prospect rankings, and handling criticism.
- KATOH makes use of Clay Davenport's data for defensive inputs.
- KATOH and scouting rankings both like Ronald Acuña. Brendan McKay rated #22 by scouts, not ranked by KATOH.
- Top 5 KATOH players that are unranked by scouts: Zack Granite (#6), Trent Grisham (#8), Daz Cameron (#16), Jake Rogers (#17), Anthony Banda (#50)
- Top 5 scout list players that are unranked by KATOH: Miguel Andujar (#14), Brendan Rogers (#18), Carter Kieboom (#40), Willie Calhoun (#46), Jesus Sanchez (#49)
- Ben Lindbergh and Mitchel Lichtman's article The Juiced Ball Is Back was nominated for a SABR analytics conference research award.
- Effectively Wild Episode 1173: Actual Stats vs. Actual Scouts
- MLB free agency: Where the eight elite unsigned players will land by Bob Nightengale
- He Dies, He Scores: Evidence That Reminders of Death Motivate Improved Performance in Basketball
- 2018 Top 100 Prospects
- 2018 Top 100 KATOH Prospects
- John Jaso's text to Fernando Perez
- The Juiced Ball Is Back by Ben Lindbergh & Mitchel Lichtman